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Solar activity: flares, spots, and space weather

Magnetic processes on the Sun affecting planetary environments and human technologies

Dynamic behavior of the Sun

Although from Earth the Sun may appear as a constant, unchanging sphere of light, it is actually a magnetically active star, periodically experiencing cyclic fluctuations and sudden energy releases. This activity arises from the magnetic fields generated deep within the Sun, which break through the photosphere and cause phenomena such as sunspots, prominences, flares, and coronal mass ejections (CME). All this energy radiated and ejected by the Sun forms the so-called “space weather,” which significantly affects Earth's magnetosphere, upper atmosphere, and modern technological infrastructure.

1.1 Solar Magnetic Cycle

One of the most prominent signs of solar activity is the ~11-year sunspot cycle, also called the Schwabe cycle:

  • Sunspot Minimum: Few sunspots are observed, the solar environment is calmer, with fewer flares and CMEs.
  • Sunspot Maximum: Dozens of spots can form daily, with more frequent strong flares and coronal mass ejections.

Even longer-lasting fluctuations spanning several decades (e.g., the Maunder Minimum in the 17th century) reveal complex solar dynamo processes. Each cycle affects Earth's climate system and can modulate cosmic ray flux, possibly influencing cloud formation or other subtle effects. [1], [2].


2. Sunspots: Windows into Solar Magnetism

2.1 Formation and Appearance

Sunspots are relatively cooler, darker areas on the solar photosphere. They form where magnetic flux tubes rise from the Sun's interior, suppressing convective heat transport and thus lowering surface temperature (~1000–1500 K cooler than the surrounding photosphere at ~5800 K). Sunspots usually appear in pairs or groups with opposite polarity magnetic fields. A large group of spots can be even larger than Earth's diameter.

2.2 Penumbra and Umbra

A sunspot consists of:

  • Umbra: The darkest central part, where the strongest magnetic field and the most reduced temperature are observed.
  • Penumbra: The lighter outer region with filamentary structure, weaker magnetic field gradient, and higher temperature than the umbra.

Sunspots can last from several days to several weeks and constantly change. Their number, total "spot area," and geographic distribution (by latitude) are important indicators to monitor solar activity and define solar maximum or minimum approximately every ~11 years in ongoing cycles.

2.3 Significance for Space Weather

Sunspot regions, where complex magnetic fields accumulate, are often active regions prone to flares and CME eruptions. By observing spot complexity (e.g., twisted fields), space weather forecasters can estimate eruption probability. If flares or CMEs are Earth-directed, they can severely disrupt Earth's magnetosphere, causing geomagnetic storms and auroras.


3. Solar Flares: Sudden Energy Release

3.1 Flare mechanism

Solar flare – a rapid, intense release of electromagnetic radiation (from radio waves to X-rays and gamma rays), caused by magnetic line reconnection in an active region, releasing stored magnetic energy. The largest flares can release as much energy in minutes as several billion atomic bombs, accelerating charged particles to high speeds and heating plasma to tens of millions of kelvins.

Flares are classified by the peak X-ray flux in the 1–8 Å range measured by satellites (e.g., GOES). They are divided into smaller B, C flares, medium M flares, and powerful X flares (the latter can exceed X10 level – extremely powerful). The largest flares emit strong X-ray and UV bursts, which, if directed at Earth, can instantly ionize the upper atmospheric layers [3], [4].

3.2 Effects on Earth

If Earth is in the flare zone:

  • Radio communication "blackouts": Sudden ionization in the ionosphere can absorb or reflect radio waves, disrupting high-frequency (HF) radio communications.
  • Increased satellite drag: Enhanced heat release in the thermosphere can expand the upper atmospheric layers, increasing drag on satellites in low Earth orbit.
  • Radiation hazard: High-energy protons ejected during a flare can pose threats to astronauts, polar air routes, or satellites.

Although flares themselves usually cause instantaneous but short-lived disruptions, they often occur together with coronal mass ejections, which cause longer and more severe geomagnetic storms.


4. Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) and solar wind disturbances

4.1 CME: massive plasma eruptions

Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) – a large ejection of magnetized plasma cloud from the Solar corona into interplanetary space. CMEs are often (but not always) associated with flares. If the eruption is directed toward Earth, such a cloud can arrive in ~1–3 days (speed can reach up to ~2000 km/s for the fastest CMEs). CMEs carry billions of tons of solar material – protons, electrons, and helium nuclei, associated with strong magnetic fields.

4.2 Geomagnetic storms

If a CME has a southward magnetic field polarity and encounters Earth's magnetosphere, magnetic reconnection can occur, allowing a large amount of energy to enter Earth's magnetic "tail" (magnetotail). Consequences:

  • Geomagnetic storms: Strong storms cause auroras, visible at much lower latitudes than usual. Intense storms cause power grid disruptions (e.g., Hydro-Québec 1989), damage GPS signals, and pose risks to satellites due to charged particles.
  • Ionospheric currents: Electric currents formed in the ionosphere can induce currents in Earth's surface infrastructure (long pipelines or power lines).

In critical cases (e.g., the 1859 Carrington Event), a massive CME can cause major telegraph or modern electronic equipment disruptions. Currently, institutions in many countries actively monitor space weather to reduce potential damage.


5. Solar Wind and Space Weather Without Flares

5.1 Basics of Solar Wind

Solar wind is a continuous flow of charged particles (mainly protons and electrons) streaming from the Sun at speeds of ~300–800 km/s. The magnetic fields carried with the particle flow form the heliospheric current sheet. Solar wind intensifies during solar activity maxima, with higher-speed streams more frequently originating from coronal "holes." Interaction with planetary magnetic fields can cause magnetic "substorms" (auroras) or atmospheric erosion on planets without a global magnetic field (e.g., Mars).

5.2 Effects of Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs)

If higher-speed solar wind streams from coronal "holes" catch up with slower streams, corotating interaction regions (CIRs) form. These are periodically recurring disturbances that can cause moderate geomagnetic storms on Earth. Although their impact is less than CMEs, they also contribute to space weather variability and can affect galactic cosmic ray modulation.


6. Monitoring and Forecasting Solar Activity

6.1 Ground-based Telescopes and Satellites

Scientists observe the Sun in various ways:

  • Ground-based Observatories: Solar optical telescopes track sunspots (e.g., GONG, Kitt Peak), radio antenna arrays record radio bursts.
  • Space Missions: Such as NASA SDO (Solar Dynamics Observatory), ESA/NASA SOHO, or Parker Solar Probe provide images at various wavelengths, magnetic field data, and in situ solar wind measurements.
  • Space Weather Forecasting: Specialists from agencies like NOAA SWPC or ESA Space Weather Office interpret these observations and warn about possible solar flares or Earth-directed CMEs.

6.2 Forecasting Methods

Forecasters rely on models, analyze the magnetic complexity of active regions, photospheric magnetic schemes, and coronal field extrapolations to determine the likelihood of a flare or CME. While short-term (hours to days) forecasts are fairly reliable, medium and long-term specific flare timing predictions remain challenging due to chaotic magnetic processes. However, knowing when the Solar maximum or minimum is approaching helps satellite operators and power grid managers plan resources and risk management.


7. Space Weather Impact on Technologies and Society

7.1 Satellite Operations and Communications

Geomagnetic storms can increase satellite drag or damage electronics due to high-energy particles. Satellites in polar orbits may experience communication disruptions, and GPS signals can degrade due to ionospheric disturbances. Solar flares can cause high-frequency (HF) radio blackouts, interfering with aviation and maritime communications.

7.2 Power Grids and Infrastructure

Strong geomagnetic storms create geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) in power transmission lines, which can damage transformers or cause major power grid failures (e.g., the 1989 Quebec blackout). Increased corrosion risk also applies to pipelines. To protect modern infrastructure, real-time monitoring and rapid interventions (e.g., temporarily reducing grid load) are needed when storms are forecast.

7.3 Radiation Risk for Astronauts and Aviation

Solar energetic particle events (SEPs) with high-energy particles pose health risks to astronauts on the ISS or future Moon/Mars missions, as well as to high-altitude passengers and crews in polar regions. Monitoring and measuring proton flux intensity are important to reduce radiation exposure or appropriately adjust planned extravehicular activities in space.


8. Possible Extreme Events

8.1 Historical Examples

 

  • Carrington Event (1859): A major flare/CME episode that caused telegraph line fires and allowed auroras to be seen in tropical latitudes. If a similar event occurred today, disruptions to the power grid and electronics would be severe.
  • "Halloween" Storms (2003): Several X-class flares and strong CMEs affecting satellites, GPS, and airline communications.

 

8.2 Future Superstorm Scenarios?

Statistically, a Carrington-level event occurs every few centuries. As global dependence on electronics and power grids grows, vulnerability to extreme solar storm events also increases. Protective measures include stronger grid construction, surge protectors, satellite shielding, and rapid response procedures.


9. Beyond Earth: Impact on Other Planets and Missions

9.1 Mars and the Outer Planets

Without a global magnetosphere, Mars experiences direct solar wind erosion of the upper atmospheric layers, which over a long period contributed to the loss of the planet's atmosphere. During higher solar activity, these erosion processes accelerate even more. Missions like MAVEN study how solar particle streams strip Mars ions. Meanwhile, giant planets such as Jupiter or Saturn, which have strong magnetic fields, are also affected by solar wind fluctuations, causing complex polar auroral phenomena.

9.2 Interplanetary missions

Human and robotic missions traveling beyond Earth's protective magnetic field must consider solar flares, SEPs (high-energy Solar Energetic Particle events), and cosmic rays. Radiation shielding, trajectory planning, and timely data from solar observation instruments help mitigate these threats. As space agencies plan Moon bases or Mars missions, space weather forecasts become increasingly important.


10. Conclusion

Solar activity – the totality of sunspots, solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and the constant solar wind – arises from the intense magnetic field and dynamic convective processes in the Sun. Although the Sun is vital for our existence, its magnetic storms pose serious challenges to technological civilization, which is why a space weather forecasting and protection system is being developed. Understanding these phenomena allows us to grasp not only Earth's vulnerability but also broader stellar processes. Many stars experience similar magnetic cycles, but the Sun, being relatively close, offers a unique opportunity to study them.

As civilization's dependence on satellites, power grids, and manned space missions grows, managing the impact of solar eruptions becomes a critical priority. The interaction of solar cycle changes, potential superstorms, and the "penetration" of solar plasma into planetary environments shows that we need modern solar observation missions and continuous research. The Sun, with its magnetic "spectacles," is both a source of life and a disruptive factor, reminding us that even in the "quiet" environment of a G2V star, a perfect state of stability is impossible.


Links and further reading

  1. Hathaway, D. H. (2015). “The Solar Cycle.” Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 12, 4.
  2. Priest, E. (2014). Magnetohydrodynamics of the Sun. Cambridge University Press.
  3. Benz, A. O. (2017). Flare Observations and Signatures. Springer.
  4. Pulkkinen, A. (2007). “Space Weather: Terrestrial Perspective.” Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 4, 1.
  5. Webb, D. F., & Howard, T. A. (2012). “Coronal mass ejections: Observations.” Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 9, 3.
  6. Boteler, D. H. (2019). “A 21st Century View of the March 1989 Magnetic Storm.” Space Weather, 17, 1427–1441.
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